Started V1.0 22oct23Updated V1.21 20:00 18mar24
The story of broadcast media:
from an X post at https://x.com/wpoel/status/1769458332698337614
This is a tale for media nerds. I will be interested to see who can be arsed to read it and comment - and I will happily incorporate and amalgamate comments as it rolls along. But it seems like a good waypoint in the story of media to look back over broadcast TV and note its passing.
Strategically, the total dependence on online access for all our information and entertainment creates insane vulnerabilities in society, when with a fraction of the power the government is about to control, we have already been spun into a multi-trillion dollar frenzy of conspiracy and false narratives, by the so-called elites of globalisation and their apparently compliant mainstream media cohorts.
The end of TV as we knew it... (part one)
This is a tale for media nerds. I will be interested to see who can be arsed to read it and comment - and I will happily incorporate and amalgamate comments as it rolls along. But it seems like a good waypoint in the story of media to look back over broadcast TV and note its passing.
Strategically, the total dependence on online access for all our information and entertainment creates insane vulnerabilities in society, when with a fraction of the power the government is about to control, we have already been spun into a multi-trillion dollar frenzy of conspiracy and false narratives, by the so-called elites of globalisation and their apparently compliant mainstream media cohorts.
The end of TV as we knew it... (part one)
17mar24 V1.1Traditional broadcast TV executives who have been following the progress of YouTube and Twitter/X over the past couple of years all now know their game is totally up, and traditional broadcast is a waste of transmitter electricity and wireless bandwidth that can be better used by mobile phones. As long as Internet access is universally available... and if it isn't, you might as well be living in s cave and hunting a woolly mammoth.
And now only sport has any realtime-critical value that an audience will pay for, and that is also mostly moving to on-demand pay per view (PPV). Even breaking news is now thoroughly overtaken by X and YouTube as well as numerous websites.
During this evolution, the commercial judgment required to adapt to the fast-evolving technology was not much in evidence at ITV, whose executive board was still dismissively referring to its digital R&D as "Jokes and Novelties" in 1999.
Those early TV execs were mostly from commercial publishing backgrounds where the skill is the simple but basic understanding that a commercial publishing medium is funded from advert revenue - which is derived from connecting an eager seller, with a rather less eager purchaser.... and trying to maintain the contact for as long as possible - this was an early manifestation of an attention economy.
Matching content to the audience is a simple challenge with a universe of 30m "general public" viewers. The early days of analogue TV were "one size fits all" uncomplicated - the audience response was gauged from (next day) sales of toothpaste, soap powder, petfood etc. - classic high-volume FMCG (fast-moving consumer goods) for a general audience demographic.
The way the ads could be matched to an audience or "targeted" was to place them close to programmes that defined a likely audience. Soap Operas traditionally reach the female audience who buy (don't cancel me please) soap...
When ITV was introduced in 1955 various TV execs described it as a license to print money. It was indeed "fat city" during the years of ITV regional monopolies until the stuttering introduction of multichannel digital (1998) the year after Channel 5 - the last analogue service - was launched.
Government had been long aware of the power of broadcasting to establish and influence the social agenda of the nation (and beyond) The BBC was a vital war resource by the time of WW2 - and so the government controlled all aspects very closely - and then clung on to control after the war. Originally as a function of the Post Office that was responsible for licensing receivers and transmitters - then latterly taken over by Ofcom. Digital TV started the erosion and dissipation of the giant analogue audiences - once regularly 15-20m for prime time - across 20 or more digital channels. So the arrival of multi-channel competition was a new challenge.
The original incarnation of digital TV (ONdigital) failed badly, since up to then the TV broadcast industry had led a charmed life with content needed for just 4 channels. It was a money-printing machine and there was little concern for cost efficiency as advertisers were willing to pay the asking price for the scarce advertising inventory to create instant (and measurable demand) from a mass audience, the competition was between the FMCG brand giants to bid for the prime advert slots, not commercial broadcasters who had a simple formulaic approach to content scheduling.
The US experience where cable TV had established a different dynamic was a preview of the coming digital world where cable provided an optional subscription supplement to the existing FTA broadcast services, and content providers could easily test the appetite for premium services such as sports and current cinema movies.
TV had become a collection of set-top and set-side boxes with cable and satellite connections - each with multiple different subscription options and many with bespoke access control, using smart cards.
It took a surprisingly long time to replace the mayhem with a single Internet connection, with sufficient bandwidth to deliver multiple subscriptions and free (advert supported) services. But now it has been, available across a very large part of the world.
This is being serialised at
https://poelposition.blogspot.com/2023/10/online-tv-delivery-is-stealing-your.htmlThe end of TV as we knew it... (part two)
Started 17Mar24 V.0 (come back laters!)
Traditional broadcast TV executives who have been following the progress of YouTube and Twitter/X over the past couple of years all now know their game is totally up, and traditional broadcast is a waste of transmitter electricity and wireless bandwidth that can be better used by mobile phones. As long as Internet access is universally available... and if it isn't, you might as well be living in s cave and hunting a woolly mammoth.
And now only sport has any realtime-critical value that an audience will pay for, and that is also mostly moving to on-demand pay per view (PPV). Even breaking news is now thoroughly overtaken by X and YouTube as well as numerous websites.
During this evolution, the commercial judgment required to adapt to the fast-evolving technology was not much in evidence at ITV, whose executive board was still dismissively referring to its digital R&D as "Jokes and Novelties" in 1999.
Those early TV execs were mostly from commercial publishing backgrounds where the skill is the simple but basic understanding that a commercial publishing medium is funded from advert revenue - which is derived from connecting an eager seller, with a rather less eager purchaser.... and trying to maintain the contact for as long as possible - this was an early manifestation of an attention economy.
Matching content to the audience is a simple challenge with a universe of 30m "general public" viewers. The early days of analogue TV were "one size fits all" uncomplicated - the audience response was gauged from (next day) sales of toothpaste, soap powder, petfood etc. - classic high-volume FMCG (fast-moving consumer goods) for a general audience demographic.
The way the ads could be matched to an audience or "targeted" was to place them close to programmes that defined a likely audience. Soap Operas traditionally reach the female audience who buy (don't cancel me please) soap...
When ITV was introduced in 1955 various TV execs described it as a license to print money. It was indeed "fat city" during the years of ITV regional monopolies until the stuttering introduction of multichannel digital (1998) the year after Channel 5 - the last analogue service - was launched.
Government had been long aware of the power of broadcasting to establish and influence the social agenda of the nation (and beyond) The BBC was a vital war resource by the time of WW2 - and so the government controlled all aspects very closely - and then clung on to control after the war. Originally as a function of the Post Office that was responsible for licensing receivers and transmitters - then latterly taken over by Ofcom. Digital TV started the erosion and dissipation of the giant analogue audiences - once regularly 15-20m for prime time - across 20 or more digital channels. So the arrival of multi-channel competition was a new challenge.
The original incarnation of digital TV (ONdigital) failed badly, since up to then the TV broadcast industry had led a charmed life with content needed for just 4 channels. It was a money-printing machine and there was little concern for cost efficiency as advertisers were willing to pay the asking price for the scarce advertising inventory to create instant (and measurable demand) from a mass audience, the competition was between the FMCG brand giants to bid for the prime advert slots, not commercial broadcasters who had a simple formulaic approach to content scheduling.
The US experience where cable TV had established a different dynamic was a preview of the coming digital world where cable provided an optional subscription supplement to the existing FTA broadcast services, and content providers could easily test the appetite for premium services such as sports and current cinema movies.
TV had become a collection of set-top and set-side boxes with cable and satellite connections - each with multiple different subscription options and many with bespoke access control, using smart cards.
It took a surprisingly long time to replace the mayhem with a single Internet connection, with sufficient bandwidth to deliver multiple subscriptions and free (advert supported) services. But now it has been, available across a very large part of the world.
This is being serialised at
The end of TV as we knew it... (part two)
Freeview is fundamentally broken - and the online alternative delivery players are all plagued by advert insertion troubles, with 15 minutes per hour of unskippable commercials. This is not a satisfactory alternative to the originally proposed UHF broadcast service.
Then I was involved with the YouView consortium - led by former TalkTalk boss Dido Harding, who hired my old boss Lord Sugar (from the time I worked with him in the 1980s on Amstrad's Computer developments) - to sort out the stalled software development of the reference Humax set-top box (STB) in 2012. I was involved in exploring certain "propagation anomalies" that pretty much confirmed the UK's choice of UHF DTT platform was always going to be subject to compromised performance - thanks to certain immutable laws of physics affecting signal propagation.
BBC and ITV own a vast stockpile of quality drama and comedy programming that is not being given the best chance when being played out with poor contrast and fuzzy master recordings - although it seems to be improving all the time.
and Ofcom is complicit as usual.
There should always be an option to pay the ransom to buy viewers' wasted time back on all commercial content. And we can watch without an hour of intro waffle and ads to skip, from the start of the prog before any action with any sport event these days.
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