The effect of the sun on climate: proper science!

WORK IN PROGRESS since Dec2022 - this will be continuously evolved and updated, with links added,
The  challenge of a post like this - large and getting larger - is to get anyone to read it thoroughly. So I will try taunts:
"You will need an IQ of over 130 to be able to read and digest this information..." and if you give up after reading this advisory, then you are likely to have an IQ of below 100. But you can still apply to be a contestant on Michael McIntyre's "Wheel" gameshow.....  

Updated 25JULY24  - a continuously developed blog - please comment via @wpoel on twitter.

Since I started writing this section, a star has been born in the shape of a climate science undergraduate called Chris Martz, who has reinvented climate debating as a martial art.  His weapon of choice is Twitter, so go and look him up you'll be impressed to see just how thorough he is when dismembering the wooly pseudos science that typifies the genre. The bodies are piling up in a most entertaining fashion. No prisoners are taken, and no quarter is given.

https://x.com/ChrisMartzWX/status/1815889192075026708

THE REAL REASON FOR CLIMATE CHANGE: Robin Monotti

https://twitter.com/robinmonotti/status/178932069375187355

The warming from the Sun is cyclical, it's NOT constant. The distance of where you are from the Sun is constantly changing because both the Earth's orbit around the Sun is irregular and the Sun itself wobbles due to the combined gravitational pull of all the planets together. Look at the Schwabe solar cycle of 11 years, the Jose solar cycle of solar Inertial Motion of 179 years, Eddy Solar Cycle of 1000 years, the Bray-Halstatt Cycles of 2300-2500 years, then look into the three Milankovitch Cycles.

Short to medium term climate change:

Solar Inertial Motion: the combined mass of the planets also moves the position of the Sun through their combined gravitational pull, meaning the Sun moves around following the ever moving barycentre of the Solar system rather than being in a fixed central point in the middle Solar System. That is the key thing to understand: the Sun is moving around, wobbling in spiral like motion as it travels, it is not stationary. Once you understand that all medium term climate change can be explained simply because of the Sun's changing distance from the Earth.

None of this has anything to do with humans. None of this has anything to do with CO2. The models of the Solar System you grew up believing as a child were gross over simplifications. They conditioned you to believe that the Solar system has a fixed Sun position with a regular Sun activity with regular orbits, of which the Earth is one. Yet that is not the reality: not only the earth both tilts and wobbles as it orbits, but the orbit is a changing ellipse not a perfect circle, meaning the distance from the Sun is not constant. These are the three Milankovitch cycles. Also other planets have irregular orbits.

The combined effect of all these irregular orbits together pulls the Sun off centre of the solar system into the barycentre. A wobbling Sun is the real reason for short to medium term climate change, and an irregular earth orbit, tilt and wobble is the reason for long term climate change.

And this is just the beginning of the story of irregularity in the Earth's orbit around the Sun, then there are cycles of Sun activity, making it stronger and weaker according to how close to the 11 year cycle of magnetic poles flip it is, next being in 2024, and how many Sun spots & Solar flares we are exposed to. 

Then you need to factor volcanic activity, the Hunga-Tonga Hunga underwater volcanic eruption of January 2022 increased the water vapour in the stratosphere by 10%, this in itself will cause considerable warming of the planet in most regions.

It's definitely not a simplistic neat black and white story of CO2, a minor greenhouse gas, as 95% of the earth's greenhouse gases are constituted by water vapour instead. 

Humans have no power to determine either the orbit of the Earth around the Sun or the Sun's internal & external activity, or the water vapour in the atmosphere.

Life adapts much more easily to higher temperatures and increases in CO2, particularly plants, vegetation, trees, plankton& phytoplankton, than it does to decreases in CO2.

The real danger is a decrease of CO2, and a decrease in temperature, not an increase in either.

Once again, we have been deceived by a systematically corrupt scientific funding system linked to oligarchs interests.

CO2 was always a control knob for economic prosperity, not climate.

01may24 update...
In a netshell...

It's been a year of solid activity as we would expect at solar max, and there have been a number of terrestrial geological events in the usual "thin crust" zones...  

The coincidence of a big solar flare and a tsunami in Japan is the latest "coincidence" that associates solar activity and earth's geology. There is more recent real evidence for this correlation than for anthropogenic climate change. The 2011 Tsunami that caused the Fukujima nuclear power disaster also occurred at solar max. But the Carbon cultists would prefer not to dwell on anything that reminds us that the sun is demonstrably more influential in the big issues of climate than those who cannot tax the sun want to admit.

The BBC did a decent job of covering the basics of the iron core a year ago: The way the Earth's core spins may be changing - BBC Newsround

And yesterday this happened MAJOR X-CLASS SOLAR FLARE: Mere hours after emerging over the sun's eastern limb on Dec. 31st  2022, big sunspot AR3536 erupted, producing a major X5-class solar flare. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) recorded the extreme ultraviolet flash:https://spaceweather.com/archive.php?view=1&day=01&month=01&year=2024ew=1&day=01&month=01&year=2024

Updated 09Aug23

Various Odds and sods, and loose ends. Geomagnetic stats and comment.

Updated 08Aug23

X-class flares herald the Cycle 25 maximum alert.  

 

Earth is dodging some big solar storms. For the second time in 3 days, departing sunspot AR3386 unleashed a powerful X1-class solar flare. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the extreme ultraviolet flash on Aug. 7th at ~2100 UT

This blog has always made the point that we simply do not know enough about the innermost functioning of the sun to provide foredcasts of flare events other than on the basis of "it's all been kicking off - so it's likely another bang will go off any minute..."  ... so not exactly precision forecasting, given its significance as the overwhelming source of heat energy in the solar system.

Lastest evolving update from an AI trawl:

"The influence of planetary gravity on the solar dynamo has been known for about 50 years. In 1972, a team of scientists led by Edward Parker [coincidental, but not related to the Parker of of Parker Pobe fame] proposed that the gravity of Jupiter and Saturn could play a role in the 11-year sunspot cycle. They argued that the gravitational pull of these two planets could cause the Sun's magnetic field to twist and distort, which could in turn lead to the formation of sunspots.

This hypothesis was further supported by observations in the 1980s. Scientists found that the number of sunspots tends to peak when Jupiter and Saturn are aligned in the same direction, and to trough when they are aligned in opposite directions. This suggests that the gravitational pull of these two planets is indeed having an impact on the Sun's magnetic field.

A more recent 2021 study looked into why explanations  and models in expert circles diverge widely as to why the magnetic field changes at all. Is the sun controlled externally or does the reason for the many cycles lie in special peculiarities of the solar dynamo itself? HZDR researcher Frank Stefani and his colleagues have been searching for answers for years—mainly to the question as to whether the planets play a role in solar activity. 

However, the exact mechanism by which planetary gravity affects the solar dynamo is still not fully understood. Some scientists believe that the gravitational pull of Jupiter and Saturn can cause the Sun's magnetic field to become more turbulent, which can in turn lead to the formation of sunspots. Others believe that the gravitational pull of these two planets can cause the Sun's magnetic field to become more aligned with the Sun's rotation, which can also lead to the formation of sunspots."

So the only prediction concerning any aspect of our sun that has any record of reliability is still the almost metronomic 22 year period of the activity cycle, derived from nothing more sophisticated than counting the visible sunspots. 

This latest research is another example of interesting revelations that climate scientists have been reluctant to accept into their modelling - probably because they simply do not understand it...

https://msutoday.msu.edu/news/2023/surprising-sun-discovery

“The sun is more surprising than we knew,” said Mehr Un Nisa, a postdoctoral research associate at Michigan State University. “We thought we had this star figured out, but that’s not the case.”

Nisa, who will soon be joining MSU’s faculty, is the corresponding author of a new paper in the journal Physical Review Letters that details the discovery of the highest-energy light ever observed from the sun.

The international team behind the discovery also found that this type of light, known as gamma rays, is surprisingly bright. That is, there’s more of it than scientists had previously anticipated.

Updated 24Apr2023 ...

What drives the solar cycle?

This does! (https://phys.org/news/2015-03-solar.html)

Now, ponder for a moment:  the ease with which the hypothesis of climate change based on "carbon" has been established as a religious doctrine, complete with saints sinners and heretics - and the familiar excuses to curtail the use of free speech and open debate. "Carbon" is only a tiny part of the story of climate, but by allowing zealots to dictate the agenda, there is a severe danger that important other factors are being overlooked - or worse.

So at risk of excommunication we remind you that CO2 climate change remains an act of faith, and is not settled science. The observations are contradictory, and the propositon is at very best, a hypothesis. And just as religion refuses to be challenged to produce evidence of its Gods, we are told that we will all go to climate hell if we don't believe in Carbon and anthropogenic climate change. The unchallenged consequences of the zealots and their impositions of Marxist control ideas now include transport restrictions, ULEZ and ideas like 15 minute cities with the impositioons of tranport and paymetn m ethods that gives the state precise infroamtion on the movements and habits of all those with a smartphone.

 

You might suspect that all is not it seems when those defending their faith have to go to extremes to bully others around to their point of view.  You didn't expect the Spanish Inquisition, but you got it.

Climate has been a another testing ground for politicians and "deep state" researchers to explore how a scared and compliant population can be gaslit, and sold any number of dubious propositions. Pandemic anyone?

We really do need to look behind and deep into the nature of power and influence across politics and the media in the light of the staggering amount  "money" that has been conjured/printed since the 80s by a handful of governments, organisations and individuals. At the same time as traditional asset-backed currency and value has been forgotten. Gold ("Money", as JP Morgan perceptively put it) has appreciated some 95% against £/€/$ (which is "Credit") in 50 years. Credit is a monetray construct that requires - you guessed - an "act of faith" on the part of those using it. The phrase "I promise to pay the bearer XX on demand" is as empty as the bank vault that once held the gold that existed to back that promise.

Amongst the starkest evidence of something going seriously wrong with the way government operates, is that someone as apparently unsuitable and prone to gaffes that belie an alarming level of dysfunction and dementia as Joe Biden is President of the United States. Obviously money is involved, but who is pulling which strings? The vested intersts in a counrty like the United States involve trillions of dollars. There is enough csah involved that the most stalwart and trusted are going to be readily corruptible.

So who funds the eco movement that has indoctrinated the under 30s through our education system and the BBC?  Remember those images of polar bears drowning? Well there's been a polar bear population explosion in recent years, so in some parts of the Arctic you will be in more danger from being mauled by a marauding polar bear, than you are from climate change.

Another question to ask.. "what is the percentage of CO2 in  the atmosphere we are arguing about anyway?" Most people will suggest a figure well over 5%, many think 20%.

The answer is 0.04%, 400 parts per 1,000,000 and it is a vital part of the growth of all things green through the process of photosynthesis. CO2 is even introduced into greenhouses for this purpose. And as we know, the UK contributes just ~1% to the global total, anyway.

We have been gaslit for long enough! It's time for a blast of reality. Have you got the cojones?

 

https://youtu.be/4cQIzf5HAO4

Maybe we should be trying to help Gene Beards who runs this YouTube channel "socialize" his campaign to bring attention to a climate change proposition backed by real science. The migration of the magnetic pole - and possibility of a complete polar reversal - is real and measurable. And it has happened before in Earth's history.

The usual deep state CO2 lobbyists are aware of this, as it is undermines their narrative and so they try quite hard to dismiss it; they already know that they can promote the most astonishing pseudo-scientific nonsense and have it swallowed by the gullible. And for the less gullible - contemtplating resisting assimilation - remember what happened to the late Dr David Bellamy when he raised his voice in doubt?  He became victim to a crude Napoleonic cancellation gesture "pour encourager les autres"...

This real science is based on observed solar activity; it might seem obvious to anybody after a brief moment of thought that the biggest influence on climate throughout the whole of the solar system is the big round bright thing called the sun. It's been blasting out energy and particles for billions of years and it's what stripped the atmosphere from Mars to turn it from a potentially habitable planet with oceans, to the present arid desert.

The difference between Mars and Earth is there Mars did not have a magnetic field ("magnetosphere") to help shield it from these particles - but earth has a complex magnetic field structure thanks to its molten iron core.

Magnets have poles ... and in the case of Earth, the magnetic North pole has been used for navigation using compasses for centuries. The magnetic North pole is not the same as the "true" north, and the divergence between true and magnetic North varies over time. The mechanism is fascinating and not too hard for anyone with an inquiring scientific mind to grasp. Have a Google.

"True north is a fixed point on the globe. Magnetic north is quite different. Magnetic north is the direction that a compass needle points to as it aligns with the Earth's magnetic field. What is interesting is that the magnetic North Pole shifts and changes over time in response to changes in the Earth's magnetic core. "

The earth's molten iron core is the basis of the magnetic field that interacts with the sun's influence to create a shield that deflects damaging particles that would otherwise strip the atmosphere in the same way that Mars lost its atmosphere.

This process is most dramatically visible in the form of the aurora (which are centred at the north and south pole) where the magnetic field lines excite gases in the atmosphere to show those spectacular moving colours.

So why does the climate vary over time? The key factors are the variable nature of the orbit of earth around the sun which determines its distance from the sun,  and the activity of the "solar dynamo" that creates a magnetic field in conjunction with the earth's molten iron core, that shields the earth ...or not...

We have known for hundreds of years that there is an 11 year cycle involved in regulating the sun's activity levels - where this activity level is manifested in the number of sun spots visible on the solar disc. This can range from none -  for quite long periods of time - to to as many as 100 at peak solar activity.

We have also known that there have been earth climate events associated with this activity level - notably the little ice age of the middle ages, which occurred during a period of especially low sunspot activity. A "Grand Solar Minimum".

If you have been following so far, well done, but you'll be wondering why so little attention is being given to what is potentially the most influential effect on our climate while attention is focused on a hypothesis that has not been conclusively proven, and that is apparently more religion then science. Although God help anybody who dares to question the narrative, such are the vested interests now involved in trying to maintain carbon hysteria.

Maybe one explanation is that it is not possible for politicians to regulate or tax the sun?

Gene Beards deserves a wider  appreciation of his work, and hopefully somebody at GBN is going to be willing to go the extra mile to understand and work with him. He's not quite Dr Magnus Pike showman material, but with little work... ?

The speed at which the magnetic North pole is traversing is a very simple demonstration of a fundamental process taking place that could have a dramatic effect on climate in our life times. And it can be measured in real time.

There are people in governments who also understand this; which begins to explain some of the curious and contradictory behaviour going on in an effort to create misdirection. But the religious fervour that has been deployed to intimidate the heretics is such that hardly anybody dares question, for fear of being described as a conspiracy nutter. Sadly, Dr David Bellamy it's not around to ask.

The danger of being tagged as conspiracy theorists is obviously a challenge, but once you delve into the subject it's hard to explain the behaviour of governments and those many powerful influencers in the shadows, who seem to lurk just out of media attention while they pull the levers.

Astonishingly, the sun's 11 year activity cycle has only recently been explained by reference to planetary tidal influences acting on the solar dynamo. And this raises a further interesting possibility that maybe astrologers really have some scientific basis for their craft?

The clear and simple evidence that planets interact with the sun is simply that they exist in orbit, and have not spun off into deep space. Newtonian physics rules.

The question of how cosmic rays and magnetic storms can affect physiology as well as atmospheric effects like Jetstreams is it also important, given the obvious effects on animal and bird behaviour. Just as we know homing pigeons can lose their way during solar storms, there is some evidence that migraine sufferers respond to changes in magnetic field.

I realise all this is a lot to digest, but let's make the effort and take the opportunity to explore a possible climate misdirection conspiracy, and what is really going on. (We could start by giving Gene Beards of the "maverickstar reloaded" YouTube channel some media training, and having him explain in a series of interviews just how close we are getting to a full magnetic reversal.)

He may be at little excitable, but he is entitled to be frustrated, having seen the pseudoscience of "carbon" distracting the gullible for the past 10-years.

Don't forget, he has got real time evidence and scientific measurements to back his assertions. Various media encounters have revealed that JSO and  XR climate fanatics don't know about even the crude pseudo science they are using as an excuse to disrupt our lives.

Valentina Zharkova: “in next 30 years, global warming problem will be last thing in our mind”

This April 2023 item in the Daily Star (not a particularly noted scientific journal...) maybe slightly exaggerated, but considering the carbon lobby has been making grossly the exaggerated claims for years now...

https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/world-news/massive-hole-sun-unleashes-18million-29584744

 https://youtu.be/LYOMKLDbeYE

 

Prof Valentina Zharkova is not much liked by the "carbon" climate lobbyists who refuse to believe that their CO2 centric view of climate change has been comprehensively questioned by serious scientists who do not glue themselves to roads; and one of the leading authorities is the Ukrainian-born prof.

Her assertion that the Modern Grand Solar Minimum will lead to terrestrial cooling caused the Net Zero and carbon fanatics to squawk, cancel and stick pins in her effigy - but still there is no hard proof that CO2 levels of 0.04% is more influential in climate change than the sun.

 

Her accent can be a little hard work to decipher, but stick with it if you seek enlightenment.

This post is not about climate change denial, but it seeks to add balance to the CO2 assertions, and explore the underlying reality that there are many more factors than man-made CO2, aka "carbon".

 

Valentina's website is a mine of heretical information...

 

https://solargsm.com/ 

So what if the "Carbon" lobby is wrong, and is spreading information (knowingly or otherwise) on behalf of those who stand to gain from a rise in the price of fossil fuels? 

Of course the climate is changing, it has changed for 4 billion years and there is no reason to think that it has stopped changing. But the influences are many and varied, and certainly not entirely down to carbon dioxide, contrary to the popular media bogey.

Carbon dioxide has provided politicians with a handy opportunity to raise taxes and create targets. They can't tax the sun or cosmic rays. But the collateral economic damage is now emerging - fast - and demands a full rethink of the entire narrative, and accept that many have been misled. And refocus on the need to develop renewable energy alternatives to avoid being cornered by despots. 

The fact that Donald Trump made this very point at the UN in 2018, and the German delegation openly laughed at him, is of course another contributory factor to the denial by an awkwardly bigoted "liberal" establishment that seems to rely on creating simplistic symbols as objects of derision and hate, in the traditions of the best Nazi propaganda.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2018/09/25/trump-accused-germany-becoming-totally-dependent-russian-energy-un-germans-just-smirked/

The current financial (lockdown repayment) crisis is due to energy cost inflation coupled to debt arising from pandemic spending. The debt is a done deal and fact, the energy crisis is a dynamic situation that can be adjusted.

If CO2 really was a thing, why is the UK, which is responsible for max 2% of global CO2 forcing itself into penury when China, the US and India are still contributing vastly more ..? It makes no sense.

The only rational conclusion is that we are being gaslit on a monumental scale. "Carbon" based anthropogenic climate change may be a smoke and mirrors hypothesis. It could be a manipulation of ambiguity, it is not proven and conclusive science. And it has been very cleverly used by Russia to corner gullible governments, who have been quick to make money from inventing taxes. The result is financial chaos and rampant inflation.

How do we get those who have bought the story and caused the current crisis to step back, rethink and re-evaluate ...and - crucially - admit they actually have no irrefutable evidence, and that they have been manipulated, groomed and browbeaten into admiring the climate change warriors' fine new clothes? Or face cancellation.

Most climate science is couched in vague speculation... It is almost as if those who find themselves in the spotlight of fervent media speculation are slightly nervous and hedging their bets....

This is from one of the better academic summaries of the popular hypothesis found at...

https://news.climate.columbia.edu/2019/07/30/co2-drives-global-warming/

It is not definitive, but a useful expression of the currently orthodox view.

"CO2 is 0.04% of the atmosphere. 

Scientists say that if CO2 doubles, it could raise the average global temperature of the Earth between two and five degrees Celsius."

 

 ...and if the moon was made of cheese, it could solve world hunger...

The real issue for years has been one of energy security, namely being dependent on energy from unpredictable despotic regimes. Before the Russian contribution to the crisis, the oil producers of the Middle East have held the soft dangly parts of the Western economy in their grasp ...and occasionally squeezed to create an oil crisis and manipulate prices to maximize their income.

Let us not overlook the other ecology issues arising from refined oil production, especially that of waste  plastics in the oceans. This is not a by-product of energy, it is a simple case of wanton vandalism in the disposal of waste products. Most plastics could be traced to origin.

Meantime, Neil Oliver is well across the issues of elite gaslighting and always manages to impress. If a political party can manage to get his endorsement, his calm and consistent presentations could be pivotal in encouraging the green-washed hordes to accept that they have been fooled in this age of crazed hyperbole, misdirection, intolerance, ignorance and spiteful cancellation.

 The elite that has taken almost all the money is now after everything else as well

And keep an eye on the magnetic pole shift and possible flip, with the redoubtable passion of Gene "Cassandra" Beards who is also healthily sceptical of the gaslighters....

While Gene may seem a little excitable at times, keep in mind he discusses "real measured science", not the febrile speculations of teenagers and a PM's daffy wife who may have been over-impressed by paid Russian influencers...

(A new religious fervour? All religions must be, by definition, conspiracy theories anyway... 

http://poelposition.blogspot.com/2022/04/the-new-religion.html)

And if you're still wondering, there's a new study suggesting that weather stats are whatever you want them to be.. 

 

 

In the last 710 years there has been no net warming in the Central Alps. Modern temperatures suggest a return to the values of the 14th and 15th centuries.  It would appear the temperature trend from the 1980s to 2010 period has been flat.

https://t.co/nYVXPKbNmV

 

And finally, let's not lose sight of the overpopulation contribution to our damaged ecology... 200k more (nett) new mouths to feed, cloth and supply with energy, each and every day...

 

 

 

Further reading... 

• The CO2 Coalition website
• Clintel.org
• A list of books by scientists
• A list of more than 200 peer-reviewed papers that refute the narrative of humans causing climate change
• A list of scientific summaries
• http://la.climatologie.free.fr/facteur-climat/climatic-factors.htm
  This is an excellent but little-noticed French website that covers the broader questions very well. It seems to date from 2012 and thus predates the present CO2 hysteria/hoax.  Sadly, the contact email - williams.fondevilla@ wannador.fr - is a dead end. But I'd love to get a viable current contact - anyone?
• The Strange Cycle of Sun Spots And Solar Winds | How The Universe Works
• Sun's Next Solar Cycle Begins to Stir, Scientists Reveal  July24
  
  
  

This is a Work in progress...

The High Priests of Carbon v. the Sun God

 THIS BLOG IS WORK IN CONTINUAL PROGRESS this will be continuously updated and links added.

updated  0v3 12Sep23 (this page) https://poelposition.blogspot.com/2022/04/the-new-religion.html

This is not a blog post on climate change denial - this sets out to explore how the zealous cult-like obsession with the barely scientific "Carbon" hypothesis may be dangerously obsessive, and that there are many more (measurable) factors at play. Most of which are well outside our ability to directly influence - or tax... or mainstream media to comprehend and report objectively. So let's start with a genuiinely indisputable fact: possibly the only one in all climate "science": The sun is still the ONLY significant source of warmth and energy in the solar system! 

This video is from the very watchable Anton Petrov. He's giving a useful round up on Ice Ages and the sun's role with Milankovitch cycles - and then introduces the news that methane (CH4) levels have taken a dramatic surge. The best guess is that this is coming from decomposing wetlands in Africa. But given the significance of the surge, I would expect a lot of work to be going on to narrow down exactly what is going on. It may help explain the international focus on farming and the clumsy efforts to shut down advanced farms - where once again, fundamentally ignorant politicians are being wound up by fanatics, and being goaded to make barely researched decisions, with many unintended consequences. Maybe it would be more beneficial to turn agricultural farmland over to vast solar farms, and use the energy to incinerate the bodies of humans that will starved to death to meet WEF population requirements... (let's see just who reads this blog, eh? 😳)

 https://youtu.be/72uza9JpT-I

The reference to Exxon's in house predicitons in the Science article is very much the sort of influential but under reported matter that may have been distracted and obfuscated by the climate lobby's irrational fixation with "carbon".

From Anton's video comments:
Tundra permafrost melting is definitely a contributor too but from the data in the paper it seems the wetlands are adding larger amounts in comparison. Increase in farmland in countries like Brazil is a contributor too but it's not growing large enough compared to the data -This is the first study majorly addressing this, so it's still not clear what's happening.
The methane data seems to be very robust and was reported in other papers using other observations so the jump is real -Methane correlates with solar activity as well (check out Neptune video below) and the Sun is becoming super active, so it may skew the data downward...suggesting the levels may go up even higher after 2026...maybe -CO2 is still an issue too and will be making things even worse. It's also what probably started all of this. Internal studies conducted by oil companies in the 1960s/1970s literally predicted all of this. They just cared about profits more: https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abk0063
Neptune and methane: https://youtu.be/60z6fpFehyA

0v3 08Sep23

Here is awkward news for the anthropogenic climate change lobby - which remains determinedly focused on CO2 as the primary cause of "climate change".

"It's the sun that provides all the heat"

After a long period studying CO2 effects, as a chemical engineer and technical problem solver - I leveraged the most credible experts and put together a simplified summary! And I stick ONLY to the FACTS!  DOWNLOAD this short vid here to share elsewhere!  https://we.tl/t-T2cHvoZ32N

https://youtu.be/wnjozntXnZ4?si=LxsP8vAvypIomMp0

updated  0v3 07Sep23 

Astrum on Milankovitch cycles... earth axis angles and the holocene...

 

https://youtu.be/dpvd9FensT8

 

Atrum are one of the more observers who are sticking with the CO2 warming hypothesis, and making a brave effort to call for consensus on basics so we can at least agree the starting position and way points. But the list of unfulfilled scare prophecies from the Gore era have left too many cries of "Wolf!" reverberating around the echo chambers of carbon obsessives. Although cries of "polar bear!" may be more appropriate, since they are not extinct as once widely predicted, but still around 31k since 1980.

0v3 02Sep23.

New study suggests global warming could be mostly an urban problem

https://essopenarchive.org/users/304243/articles/657090-long-term-surface-impact-of-hunga-tonga-hunga-ha-apai-like-stratospheric-water-vapor-injection

29AUG23

It's over to the YouTube solar watcher -  smAsho mAsh - for his daily report featuring a "lot of stuff" going on. With the Florida Hurricane making landfall and storm surge coming to coincide with a "super blue moon" that promises :

"A rare super blue moon will shine in the sky as August wraps up. 

The month already featured a supermoon as it began, but the second full supermoon of the month — which will appear on Aug. 30 — will also be a blue moon. A blue moon is not actually blue in color; the term signifies a second full moon within a single month. 

August's first full moon rose on Aug. 1 and was the second of four consecutive supermoons. On average, supermoons are about 16% brighter than an average moon. They also appear bigger than the average full moon. According to NASA, it's similar to the size difference between a quarter and a nickel. The phenomenon occurs when the moon's orbit is closest to Earth at the same time the moon is full. 

The Aug. 30 supermoon will appear to be even closer than the full moon at the beginning of the month. The last of the four consecutive supermoons this year will be the Sept. 28 "Harvest Moon."

So how far are we from solar maximum..?

 

19AUG23

 SUNSPOTS MAKE CLOUDS ON NEPTUNE: A new paper published Aug. 17th in the research journal Icarus offers dramatic proof that solar activity can affect planetary weather. The big surprise: That planet is Neptune, 2.5 billion miles from the sun. Twenty-six years of images taken by the Hubble Space Telescope show bright clouds forming in sync with the 11-year solar cycle:

The connection between Neptune and solar activity is surprising to planetary scientists because Neptune is our solar system's farthest major planet and receives only 0.1% of the sunlight Earth receives. Yet Neptune's cloudy weather seems to be driven by solar activity, and not the planet's four seasons, which each last approximately 40 years.

"This is extremely exciting and unexpected," says Erandi Chavez, a graduate student at Harvard-Smithsonian's Center for Astrophysics, who led the study when she was a student at UC Berkeley.

The research team confirmed Hubble's results using data from the Webb Space Telescope, the Keck Observatory, and the Lick Observatory. The link between sunspots and Neptune's clouds appears to be solar ultraviolet (UV) radiation, which peaks when sunspot counts are high.

We cannot tax the sun, so politicians are not interested?

For all that the Sun is a ubiquitous and vital part of our lives, a lot about it remains baffling. And it's continuing to surprise. Here material from a filament of plasma erupting from the Sun's surface broke away and appeared to form a crown-like vortex over the solar north pole.

A primary source of breaking space weather and solar news is @tamithaskov on Twitter, aka "Space Weather Woman" whose YouTube Channel is the go to for sun watchers looking to get a round up of current solar news. 04Aug23

 

update v16 12feb2023

Introduction....

An Essential primer - from a Channel 4 documentary made in 2007 - before the current (2023) climate hysteria had begun to peak.

 

 

https://youtu.be/oYhCQv5tNsQ

... The Great Global Warming Swindle caused controversy in the UK when it premiered March 8, 2007 on British Channel 4. A documentary, by British television producer Martin Durkin, which argues against the virtually unchallenged consensus that global warming is man-made. A statement from the makers of this film asserts that the scientific theory of anthropogenic global warming could very well be "the biggest scam of modern times." 

 

According to Martin Durkin the chief cause of climate change is not human activity but changes in radiation from the sun. Some have called The Great Global Warming Swindle the definitive retort to Al Gore's An Inconvenient Truth. Using a comprehensive range of evidence it's claimed that warming over the past 300 years represents a natural recovery from a 'little ice age'.

According to the program humans do have an effect on climate but it's infinitesimally small compared with the vast natural forces which are constantly pushing global temperatures this way and that. From melting glaciers and rising sea levels, The Great Global Warming Swindle debunks the myths, and exposes what may well prove to be the darkest chapter in the history of mankind. 

 

According to a group of leading scientists brought together by documentary maker Martin Durkin everything you've ever been told about global warming is probably untrue. Just as we've begun to take it for granted that climate change is a man-made phenomenon, Durkin's documentary slays the whole premise of global warming:-

"Global warming has become a story of huge political significance; environmental activists using scare tactics to further their cause; scientists adding credence to secure billions of dollars in research money; politicians after headlines and a media happy to play along. No-one dares speak against it for risk of being unpopular, losing funds and jeopardizing careers."

The sun is also the source of Geomagnetic influence - and the earth's magnetic field or magnetosphere is hugely involved in the planet's ecology. But it is barely understood by probably 99% of the people who are currently stressing over "Carbon" - although the evidence of its existence is spectacularly visible at the polar Auroras.  So I will provide a broad overview here - and please bear with my efforts to haul together the many and various components for this work in progress. 

It is a vast subject that is so much more complex than the simplification offered by those seeking to curtail debate and impose their choice of mind control. So let's start by getting back to the basics - before manipulative spin doctors roamed the earth; these are the fundamentals that have applied since the birth of the universe and Solar system.

The "us" and "them" mindset that has polarised so much of cultural and political debate around vested interests over the past 20 years was characterized by Nick Palmer on climate.org at https://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2023/07/back-to-basics/

"... I’ve found that if one scratches the surface of a denier/contrarian/sceptic one almost always finds a very right wing personality that believes that climate science is strongly biased by a left wing ideology to make findings that support left wing ‘solutions’. Organs such as the rather right wing WSJ tend to spread opinions that, they hope, will counter the ‘closet socialism’ they believe is piggy-backing on, and exaggerating, climate science for ideological reasons...."

As Mandy Rice-Davies once perfectly observed: "Well, he would say that, wouldn't he..."

December 2022 update

The bulk of this entry was written April 2022 - the trends described then have continued so there is nothing new to report other than pole migrations as normal. The poleshift guru and keeper of the runes  - Gene Beards - has become quite excitable and wandered off piste into other aspects of "armageddon watch". He's not a happy bunny.... Track his mood at Poleshift News Central

Magnetic pole reversal: why that matters ...

* please disappear down the pole reversal rabbit hole from this post...

The north (magnetic) pole goes walkabout at ~5 miles a month
... as at April 2022

The Magnetic Pole position at July 20th 2022
from Gene Beard's observation https://youtu.be/S1BDmv0HXcY

Ponder this for a moment. The ultimate ease with which the hypothesis of climate change based on "carbon" has been established as a religious doctrine, complete with saints, sinners and heretics; and the numerous "greater good" excuses to curtail the use of free speech and open debate to explore and question the basic tenets.  So at risk of excommunication I remind you that most "carbon worship" remains an act of faith expressed by congregations of (mostly) non-scientific believers; it is as much about science as Christianity is about turning water into wine.  And just as religion refuses to be challenged to produce evidence of a God, we are told that we will be consumed in the flames of climate hell if we don't stop doubting, and believe unquestioningly in "carbon".

Climate has been a useful primer for how a compliant population can be gaslit and sold any number of other dubious propositions. Dissenters are suspended to contemplate the errors of their ways in woke limbo - and then persistent offenders are cancelled in woke purgatory. I wonder if governments used this experience when preparing the gaslit narratives for their pandemic sermons?

We really do need to look behind and deep into the nature of power and influence across politics and the media in the light of the staggering amount of  "money" that has been conjured/printed since the 80s by a handful of governments, organisations and individuals; at the same time that traditional asset-backed currency and value was forgotten. The idea of social media "Social engineering" has been born from the fusion of propaganda and technology, and mostly monopolised by an unaccountable and unelected gaggle of "got lucky" investors - who were early to work out that the users are the product in a surveillance economy that gives social media platforms more direct control and influence of populations than governments.  Leading to unholy alliances where "blind eyes" are turned to outrageous social media abuses in return for insights that even the Stasi would have been proud to extract with the benefit of thumbscrews and pentathal.

There is evidence of struggles deep in the bowels of the Washington "Swamp" and Westminster "Bubble", where populism is hated by politicians and uncivil servants who want to wrestle all influence and control of the "narrative" from the people. The most stark example of something seriously wrong is that someone as obviously unsuitable as Joe Biden is President of the United States. C'mon, get real US people: you voted for Biden because you had bought the MSM/Swamp/Bubble narrative that Trump was the orange Beelzebub, not because you believed that Biden/Harris was going to lead the world into a new age of enlightenment and bounty.  You have been told to believe that you voted for Trump - although those postal votes and questionable voting machines were only "verified" by the same elites and media cliques that made up the rules and won big from a Biden victory, marking their own homework.

Meanwhile Boris Johnson has been hated and hounded by the UK liberal establishment and its compliant mainstream media cancel squads since before he was even elected. Even now Boris probably remains the people's choice in all respects other than his capacity to "reimagine" certain aspects of reality of what are relatively inconsequential matters. Winston Churchill would have not survived the same process of character assassination and sanctimonious analysis - and then we could have avoided wasting all that time and effort on WW2 and the EU - and gone straight to a Europe dominated by Germany. But the hyaenas eventually got Boris's scalp.

Watching GBN's Dan Wootton expose the climate crazies gluing themselves to the roads begs questions about who funds the eco movement that has indoctrinated the under 30s through our education system and especially the BBC. Remember those BBC fantasy images of polar bears drowning? Well there's been a polar bear population explosion in recent years, so in some parts of the Arctic you will be in more danger from being mauled by a marauding polar bear, than you are from climate change.

Here's a question to ask climate extinction zombies.. "what is the percentage of CO2 in  the atmosphere we are arguing about anyway?" Most people will suggest a figure over 5%, many think 20%. Very rarely will they know the answer to within even an order of magnitude, since it is an "inconvenient truth" that can arouse the critical faculties of even the most "conditioned zealot".

The answer is 0.04%, 4 parts per 10000, and it is a vital part of the growth of all things green through the process of photosynthesis. CO2 is even introduced into greenhouses for this purpose. The UK contributes just 1% to the global total, anyway. 1% of 0.04% - are you catching on?

We have been gaslit by CO2 speculation and paying unchallenged green taxes for long enough - so it's time for a blast of science and reality. Magnetic Pole migration geek - Gene Beards - runs a channel dedicated to observing the behaviour of the earth's magnetosphere... which is unquestionably and without doubt (or need for any act of pseudo-scientific faith) a direct consequence of solar activity interacting with the earth's molten iron core.

The refusal to accept conventional climate change wisdom based on evil CO2 is the religious equivalent of declaring that there is no God. But it is difficult to get those who (may) have been duped and invested so much in their "faith" to admit they have been fooled. Such is the missionary zeal of the Carbon lobby that it goes out of its way to intimidate converts to also be sure to attack any sign of dissent they come across. A polite disbelief in the absolute veracity of the cause leads straight to vicious accusations of being stubborn (evil!) conspiracy promoters. Many doubters are threatened with being "unfriended" (both on FB and real life) if we continue to choose to dissent. Scary Scientology moments.

 

"In the year 2000, NASA published information on its Earth Observatory website about the Milankovitch Climate Theory, revealing that the planet is, in fact, changing due to extraneous factors that have absolutely nothing to do with human activity. But, again, this information has yet to be accepted in the mainstream, some 22 years later, and sparsely informed zealots continue to claim that we really only have 18 months left before the planet dies from an excess of carbon dioxide (CO2).

 

A rather more enlightened reality includes multiple factors - including the research of Serbian astrophysicist Milutin Milankovitch, after whom the Milankovitch Climate Theory is named. It must be apparent to anyone that the climate changes by season - these seasonal and latitudinal variations of solar radiance affect the earth in different ways, and at different times, have the greatest impact on earth's changing climate "as it happens" - not as the result of a long term accumulation of atmospheric inertia."

.... more at...

https://www.sott.net/article/420049-NASA-admits-climate-change-occurs-because-of-changes-in-Earths-solar-orbit-not-because-of-SUVs-and-fossil-fuels 

A lot of effort is invested by CO2 lobbyists when trying to debunk the inconvenient Milankovitch theory although since it contains a lot of indisputable fact, the debunking is limited to narrow interpretations. Once again, let's stress that climate is an accumulation of many interactive factors and observations that need to be intelligently aggregated - and not isolated to fit specific prejudices.  

Whatever, this recent pole-shift video is one of his better backgrounders and explanations of why we should be taking  more notice of events going on under our feet in the earth's core....

Here is a detailed April 22 sitrep:

Gene Beard's Cassandra act does not include "bedside manner" - and occasionally his obvious frustration strays into the sociology issues of a society that is not paying attention to his evidence-based campaign for his observations to be taken seriously. This next video is less about pole migration than the parlous state of world leadership...

We should all be trying to help Gene Beards who runs this channel "socialize" his campaign to bring attention to a climate change proposition backed by real science. The migration of the magnetic pole - and possibility of a complete reversal - is real and measurable.

The usual deep state CO2 lobbyists are aware of this, as it undermines their narrative, and so they try to dismiss it. They already know that they can promote the most precarious pseudo-scientific propaganda, and have it eagerly swallowed by the zombie woke. So why are there not more voices raised in scientific dissent? Remember what happened to the late Dr David Bellamy when he raised his doubts? A cheer leader for BBC climate change indoctrination is currently 95 year old National Treasure, Sir David Attenborough, who now does what he is told, and no longer mentions overpopulation after being something of a crusader a few years back... 

 
Also remember that people will generally admit to be wrong when faced with the evidence, but they hate to admit to having been fooled. (Which may be the basis of all religious faith...)

This real science is based on observed solar activity and the capture of real data. It might seem obvious to anybody after a brief moment of thought that the biggest influence on climate throughout the whole of the solar system is that big round bright thing called the sun. It's been blasting out energy and particles for billions of years and it's what stripped the atmosphere from Mars to turn it from a potentially habitable planet with water oceans, into the present arid desert.

Nicolaus Copernicus, the 16th-century astronomer whose findings were condemned by the Roman Catholic Church as heretical, was only recently reburied by Polish priests as a hero nearly 500 years after he was laid to rest in an unmarked grave. He had spent years labouring in his free time developing his theory, which was condemned as heretical by the church because it removed Earth and humanity from their central position in the universe. Now substitute the Roman Catholic Church by the new kids on the ecology block, whose faith in their interpretation of the climate scriptures, leads them to believe in much the same sort of direct action as the Spanish Inquisitors. Their version of Greta Thunberg was Tomás de Torquemada, and had his disciples had access to superglue, God Knows what would have been stuck where...

Back to the science... the difference between Mars and Earth is that Mars did not have a magnetic field to help shield it from the solar and cosmic particles - but earth has a complex magnetic shield structure, thanks to its molten iron core.

Magnets have poles ... and in the case of Earth, the magnetic North pole has been used for navigation using compasses for centuries. The magnetic North pole is not the same as the "true" north, and the divergence between true and magnetic North varies over time. The mechanism is fascinating and not too hard for anyone with an inquiring scientific mind to grasp. Have a Google.

"True north is a fixed point on the globe. Magnetic north is quite different. Magnetic north is the direction that a compass needle points to as it aligns with the Earth's magnetic field. What is interesting is that the magnetic North Pole shifts and changes over time in response to changes in the Earth's magnetic core. "

The earth's molten iron core is the basis of the magnetic field that interacts with the sun's influence to create a shield that deflects damaging particles that would otherwise strip the atmosphere in the same way that Mars lost its atmosphere.

This process is most dramatically visible in the form of the aurora (which are centred at the north and south pole) where the magnetic field lines excite gases in the atmosphere to show those spectacular moving colours. 

 

  

So why does the climate vary over time in the form of seasons? The key factors are the variable nature of the orbit of earth around the sun which determines its distance from the sun, and the activity of the "solar dynamo" that creates a magnetic field in conjunction with the earth's molten iron core, that shields the earth from space radiation ...or not...

We have known for hundreds of years that there is an 11 year cycle involved in regulating the sun's activity levels - where this activity level is manifested in the number of sun spots visible on the solar disc. This can range from none - for quite long periods of time - to as many as 100 at peak solar activity. 

Astonishingly, the sun's 11 year activity cycle has only recently been explained by reference to planetary tidal influences acting on the inner solar dynamo ... which raises a further interesting possibility that maybe astrologers really have some scientific basis for their craft? Dare I be contentious and suggest there is now more scientific evidence supporting a possible basis for astrology than there is for any religion?

The most obvious evidence that planets interact with the sun is simply that they stay in orbit around the sun, and have not spun off into deep space. Remember that the complex mysteries of gravity are at the core of Einstein and Hawking's work. 

The question of how cosmic rays and magnetic storms can affect physiology as well as atmospheric effects like Jetstreams is it also important, given the obvious effects on animal and bird behaviour. Just as we know homing pigeons can lose their way during solar storms, there is some evidence that migraine sufferers respond to changes in magnetic field. 

I realise all this is a lot to digest, but let's make the effort and take the opportunity to explore a potential climate misdirection conspiracy, and get to the bottom of what is really going on. We could start by giving Gene Beards some media training, and having him explain in a series of interviews just how close we are getting to a full magnetic reversal and what that means.

When the US Geological Survey is asked for an opinion, it says: "Almost certainly not." So in the contest of absolute faith required by the Climate Inquisition - that's tantamount to a "maybe"!  

Beards may be at little excitable, but he is entitled to be frustrated, having seen the pseudoscience of "carbon" getting away with murder for the past 10-years while his real data is overlooked - inconvenient truth that does not fit the narrative. And besides if it is true, no politician can do anything to change the process - although obviously there is a lot that could be done to estimate the potential consequences and develop contingency plans. Which are likely to to suggest the planet population should have been kept down a billion or so, to have any chance of mass relocation.

Don't forget, Beards has got real time evidence and scientific measurements to back his assertions. Dan Wootton has shown that the XR climate fanatics don't know about even the most basic aspects of the pseudo science they are using as an excuse to disrupt our lives.

 

When man can influence climate... there was one infamous event that provided a wake up call ...

On July 9, 1962, the US military detonated a thermonuclear warhead 250 miles above the Pacific Ocean–a test called “Starfish Prime.” What happened next surprised everyone. Witnesses from Hawaii to New Zealand reported auroras overhead, magnificent midnight “rainbow stripes” that tropical sky watchers had never seen before. Radios fell silent, then suddenly became noisy as streetlights went dark in Honolulu.

Essentially, Starfish Prime created an artificial solar storm complete with auroras, geomagnetic activity, and blackouts. Much of the chaos that night was caused by the electromagnetic pulse (EMP)–a ferocious burst of radiation that ionized the upper atmosphere. Ionized air over the Pacific pinned down Earth’s magnetic field, then let it go again when the ionization subsided. The rebound created a manmade geomagnetic storm for hundreds of miles around the blast zone.

...and here's a recent update from Gene Beard, the one man pole shift authority...

This is typical of the effort to restrict the debate... LinkedIn is now a waste of time anyway, so no great loss to be de-platformed. But this is clearly inconvenient for the "carbon" taxers, along with Germany now abandoning it's green virtue signalling in the face of economic reality. The discussions at least, are definitely "hotting up".

We have also known that there have been earth climate events associated with this activity level - notably the "little ice age" of the middle ages, which occurred during a period of especially low sunspot activity known as a "Grand Solar Minimum".

And this is how the German media is playing the the global warming gallery... 15 years apart and now we appear to be trapped in some sort of dystopian apocalyptic inferno. Run for your lives, everyone. Various defenders of the climate change faith do their best to call this of comparison "misleading"..."one is a heatmap, whereas in the other, colours have no meaning at all. So this is total bs."

But hopefully we are able to understand the psyops games being played?

And here's how alarmists might be influencing the measurements...

## This entry is growing somewhat larger than I originally planned...

If you have been following so far, well done, but you'll be wondering why so little mainstream attention is being given to what is potentially the most influential effect on our climate - while attention is focused on a hypothesis that has not been conclusively proved, and that is apparently more religion then science. Although God help anybody who dares to question the CO2 scriptures, such are the interests now vested in trying to maintain the "carbon bogey" narrative.

Maybe one explanation is that it is not possible for politicians to regulate or tax the sun?

Gene Beards deserves a wider appreciation of his work, and hopefully somebody at GB News - the UK's preferred (slightly) contrarian News TV/radio channel, will be willing to go the extra mile to understand and work with him. He's not quite Dr Magnus Pike showman material (showing my age again), but with a little work, he could match Greta in the exasperation stakes?

The speed at which the magnetic North pole is traversing is a very simple demonstration of a fundamental process taking place that could have a dramatic effect on climate in our life times. And it can be measured in real time.

There are people in governments who also understand this; which begins to explain some curious and contradictory behaviour going on in an effort to create misdirection. But the religious fervour that has been deployed to intimidate the heretics is such that hardly anybody dares question, for fear of being described as a conspiracist. Sadly, Dr David Bellamy is not around to ask.

The danger of being tagged as conspiracy theorist is obviously a challenge, but once you delve into the subject it's hard to explain the behaviour of governments and the powerful influencers in the shadows who seem to be spared mainstream media attention, while they pull the levers and trouser the cash... 

And next "is Hydrogen really happening?"  see https://poelposition.blogspot.com/2022/03/the-electric-vehicle-myth.html

The Hydrogen debate is developing nicely in this blog post:  Here’s How Long It Takes To Fully Fill A Hydrogen Car in California with a Toyota Mirai where he explains how much it costs and how long it takes to fill up a hydrogen electric vehicle (HEV)

August 8th recent addition:

 

The real reason for medium-long term climate change according to Professor Of Physics & Mathematics at Northumbria University & solar physicist Valentina Zharkova.Valentina was one of the earliest solar observers to join up the dots around planetary alignment with solar dynbamo tidal effects and sunspot cycles. This discussion and presentation is an hour long, but well worth your time if you are serious about not wanting to be bamboozled (and bankrupted) by climate conspiracy and misinformation.

"Professor Of Physics & Mathematics at Northumbria University, Valentina Zharkova is a solar physicist who knows a lot about the sun. In fact, she is probably the world’s leading solar physicist.

For years we’ve been told that Earth is warming and it’s an absolute catastrophe thanks to carbon emissions and human activity in general. Oceans are rising and polar bears are dying and Antarctica is melting and it’s all your fault.

Except that it’s all nonsense, because humans don’t influence Earth’s temperature.

The sun does."

This is complex but thoroughly explained fighting talk - which includes a swift dismissal of Greta Thunberg... but the bad news is that we are on the predicted track of a grand solar miniumum that is associated with global cooling events - the Dalton and Maunder minimums have been the most recent examples.

https://jermwarfare.com/podcast/valentina-zharkova-on-the-sun-driving-climate-change

 

 

Now see what you make of Randall Carson on CO2 reality...

Enjoy a series of clips from Randall Carlson’s Joe Rogan appearances, where the focus is his perspective on climate and earth change.....

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

## ongoing